Between January 22-23, Cardano (ADA), a prominent player in the global and cryptocurrency market, witnessed a significant increase in trading volume, jumping from 234 million to 453 million. This spike in volume indicates a high number of transactions involving ADA. However, increased volume doesn’t always correlate with positive price movements.
In the cryptocurrency market, rising prices accompanied by increased trading volumes typically indicate strong buyer interest and potential for price growth. Conversely, if the trading volume surges while the price falls, it could signal a negative trend. For ADA, continuing volume growth alongside declining prices could suggest further downturns. Technical analysis shows the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossing above the 9-day EMA, a sign of potential bearish momentum.
Furthermore, ADA’s price has dropped below both EMAs, hinting that a short-term recovery may be unlikely. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also fell to -0.07, aligning with this bearish outlook. This data points to intense selling pressure, raising concerns that ADA could plummet to $0.40 if the bulls don’t regain control. The Aroon indicator on the 4-hour chart indicates a strong bearish trend, with Aroon Up at 14.29% and Aroon Down at 100%.
Current indicators show the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ADA at 24.16, suggesting it might be in oversold territory. While this could mean further price drops, it also opens up the possibility of a recovery. A recovery will depend on increased capital inflow into Cardano’s market, but lacking liquidity could hinder this.
Open Interest (OI) data from Coinglass reveals a decrease to $231.61 million, reflecting the unsettled futures contracts tied to ADA. A drop in OI may indicate reduced liquidity and an uptick in position closures. Combined with ADA’s price trend, this suggests a potential ongoing decline, possibly due to diminished speculation around the token. These developments are particularly pertinent to South African investors, who are showing a growing interest in cryptocurrencies like Cardano.
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