As global financial landscapes shift, the silver market remains in focus for South African investors and traders. Silver has seen an uptick in purchasing momentum near the pivotal $23.00 (ZAR 437.69) mark as the new week kicks off, solidifying its modest gains during the initial European trading hours. Currently, the gleaming metal is being traded in the vicinity of $23.15 (ZAR 440.19), marking an elevation of 0.45% for the day, although it’s still trailing behind the peak achieved last Friday.
Delving into a more extensive analysis, the past week observed the XAG/USD (ZAR 19.03/USD) rallying strongly from its support threshold at $22.30 (ZAR 424.47). This support signifies an upward trend line that has its origins in June’s lowest monthly figures. While this upward movement provides bullish traders with some optimism, technical charts indicate that we should tread with caution. The current indicators don’t overwhelmingly suggest a favourable trajectory for the commodity.
Therefore, potential upswings might meet considerable resistance, most likely getting halted near the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is presently hovering around the $23.45 (ZAR 446.10) mark. This crucial juncture, once crossed, might pave the way for XAG/USD to breach the 100-day SMA milestone, which sits close to $23.80 (ZAR 452.74), propelling it towards the sought-after $24.00 (ZAR 456.72) threshold.
Peering further ahead, the $24.30 (ZAR 462.53) to $24.35 (ZAR 463.24) zone emerges as a significant barrier. If silver can confidently navigate past this, it might set its sights on the coveted $25.00 (ZAR 475.75) mark. This zone overlaps with the peak figures of August, and any surge beyond this point could likely result in silver soaring beyond July’s zenith, which hovers around $25.25 (ZAR 480.01), swaying the market sentiment towards the bullish side.
On the contrary, the immediate safeguard against potential declines seems to be nestled at the $22.80 (ZAR 433.88) level, followed closely by last Thursday’s near-month low at $22.30 (ZAR 424.47). If these levels are breached decisively, it might trigger a downtrend, pushing XAG/USD (ZAR 19.03/USD) to potentially spiral down to support levels near $21.25 (ZAR 404.14), with a further possibility of touching the round-figure of $21.00 (ZAR 399.63).